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In the final quarter of 2025, the global economic environment was heavily influenced by unseen factors as much as by observable data. A significant information void was created by a record-setting 43-day shutdown of the U.S. government. Despite this period of uncertainty, financial markets concluded 2025 with robust gains across both equity and fixed income sectors. However, the U.S. Government Fund experienced underperformance against its designated benchmark during this quarter, a situation primarily attributed to its duration and yield curve positioning. This commentary explores the intricacies of these market dynamics and the specific elements that shaped the fund's results.

The extended U.S. government shutdown cast a long shadow over the economic landscape in late 2025, impeding the release of crucial economic data and creating a sense of apprehension among investors. This data vacuum made it challenging to assess the true health of the economy, leading to a period of heightened uncertainty. Despite this, the broader financial markets demonstrated resilience, with both equities and fixed income instruments posting strong returns by year-end, signaling investor confidence in an eventual resolution and underlying economic strength.

A pivotal factor influencing fixed income markets during this period was the Federal Reserve's policy adjustments. The Fed implemented two 25-basis-point interest rate cuts, aiming to ease monetary conditions. These actions resulted in a steepening of the Treasury yield curve, as shorter-term yields declined more significantly than longer-term yields. This policy shift generally supported fixed income assets, leading to overall market gains. However, the U.S. Government Fund's specific duration and yield curve positioning, which diverged from its benchmark, led to its underperformance in this favorable environment.

Despite the overall underperformance, certain components of the U.S. Government Fund's portfolio showed strength. Notably, its allocation to U.S. mortgage-backed securities (MBS) proved to be a positive contributor to its performance. These securities likely benefited from the lower interest rate environment and a stable housing market, providing a partial offset to the headwinds faced by other parts of the fund's holdings.

The concluding quarter of 2025 presented a complex picture for the U.S. Government Fund, marked by significant macroeconomic events and responsive monetary policy. The fund's strategic deviations from its benchmark, particularly in terms of duration and yield curve exposure, were key determinants of its relative performance. While the broader market celebrated a year of strong returns, the fund navigated a unique set of challenges and opportunities.